????:1???????:???????

2??????????

3?????????

4????????????

5????????

???????????,???«???????????????»?????????,?????????????????????10????????????????400??????

??,?????,???????????????????????????????

???????????,?????????,??????,?1980????????????????,??????????????????(??????)?????????

?,????Benjamin J. Henley??,??1618-1995??,?????????????1900-2024????????,1900?????,??1960-2024????????,1??????3????????????10??????0.12°C?

??????,??2016???????????2017???????2020??????2022??????????????2024????????????,1????????3??1900???????????,?????????????????5????????4?6????????????,1900???

«??»????????“???”???,?,??????????????????????????????????????????????,????????

??????????,????«??»??????????????????1.5°C????????????,????????70%??????????????????????????90%????,?????????????????????????????????,????????(??? ? ???????????????????? ??????????????????????? ???????? )

??:???????????????????