????:1??????100????:?????????

2?????

3???????????

4?????

5???????

????8??????????1????? (??????? ??)??(?????????????????“?????????”)8????????????????1?????????????,?7????????????(PMI)??(NMI)?????????1.5%?1.7%??52.2%?57.3%,?????????????????????????????????????????????,???????????,???????

PMI?NMI?????????50%??????,??????50%?????

???????????,7????????PMI??,???????????????????????????,??,?????????,??????????PMI??????????????????????;???????????????PMI??????????????

7?????????NMI????,????????????,???????????

????,????,?“???????????”??????“??????”,???????????????????????????,????????

????????????,???????????,???,????????????,????????;????,???

??????????????,???,????PMI??????????,?PMI????1??????(???????????) ??????:??