????:1???????:????????

2????????????

3??????????

4????????

5??????????

?????????????????7????1???????????????????????? (????????? ????)??????????????(???????????????“?????????????????”)??2024???????????????????????:?????

?????????????(Jim Reid)???????????,?????????,???,??????,?????

“??????????????????????????,????????4???????????????????2024????????????????0.5?????????5.2%??????”??????????

?,??,?????,?????,???

????????????????????(UBS)??????????????????????,???GDP????????????????????????,????????????,???????????????????,?????????????2.5%???????????????????????????2.3%?

??,?????,??,??5??,???????????????:“?????6%??,???????????????????????????????????????????????,?????????2019?????????????”

“?????????????????????????,????????????4???????????,???”????????????,????????????????,??????,?????

??:“2024???,????,???????????,????????????,?????????????????????????GDP?0.6%????????????????????????0.8%?”

“????,????5????????,????????????????”??????(??) ????????????????:?????????????????