????:1?????????:??????

2??????95?98??

3??????????????

4??????????

5????????

????????????????7??????????1?? (? ?)???????????????????(???????“???????”)7??1????????????????????,??6???(PMI)????????????????53.7%,??5?????????1.7%,?????,?????????,???

????,???6????PMI?,???????????????????????????????????,??????,?????????????????????,????????????60%???,?????????,???????

?????,?6??PMI?5??????,??????????????????????????????,???,???????,?????(AI)??,?????????????,??,??????????

?,??????????????(?“???”)?????5???????13.33????????????,???4??14.94???????????1.61?????????,??????

??????,???????????????????????????AI??????????????,?????,??????????,?????????????,?“????”??,?????????????,???,???????????????(?) ?????????????????????:??????????