????:1??????:???????

2????????

3?????sn????

4????????????

5?????95?

????7????1??? (??????? ?????????????)???????????????????(????????????????????“??”)??????????????????????2024????:?????????????????????????

?????????????????????????(Jim Reid)??????,????????????,????????????,??,?????????????????

“??,???????????4??2024??????????????0.5??5.2%??????????????”??????

???,????,?????,???,????????????

??(UBS)?????,???????????????????GDP???????,??,????????????????????????,??????2.5%??2.3%?

?????,??,????,?????????5???????????????,????????????????:“??6%?????????????????,????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????,???????????????????2019?????????”

“???????????,?????????????????????????4??,????????????????”???????????????,?????????,???????????????????????,????????????????????????????

????:“2024?,?????????,?????????????????????,???,???????????????GDP???????????0.6%?????0.8%?”

“??,???5??,?????????”???????????????????????????(????????????????) ?????????????:??????????