????:1??????????:??????500?4???

2?????????

3???????????

4?????vx?

5???????

??????????????2??10???? ????(?????????????????????“?”)10???????????????,2025??1?(PMI)??48.7%,????????,????????

????????????,???????????????????????????,????,1?????????????????PMI??????????2.1%,?48.7%?????,??????????????“??????????????????????”????????????,??????????????

?,????6??????,?????5.6%????51.7%,????????????????,????????????,?,??

???,??,????????????????????????,??????????????

??,???????1??(NMI),????????????27?????????????????????,????1????,?????????????????,?????????1.5%?????????55%,??????(??????) ??????:????????