????:1?????????????:????????????

2???????????

3??????????

4??????????

5???????

???1????????????????4?????? ?????????????:?????????????2025:???? ??????

?? ?????????

????????????????????????,?????????,?????????????????2025???????????

“??????????????????”??????

????????????????,??????????????????????

???????????????1??3?????,?????9???????11?????????,?????????????50%??,????20%?????

???????????“????????????”,???????“???”?,?“??”???????????????????,?????????????????“?????????”???????,???

?“??????????????”??????????,???????????????????????????????????,?????????????????,???????????????????

???????,???????“??”?,???????

??

??,??????????????

??????????,?????????????????1??????11??????????,????(?????,??????)?????????????????????6.8%,???3.5????;????????????3.7???????

2025???,??????304?????????????????,???????????????3860???????????????;???????????2807?,??97?????????????;??????????????????616????????????,????????2.9????????????

???????????,??,????????????????“????”???????????????????,????????

?????????2025?????,?????????

?????,???,2024?7000????????????????????1.2??,2025?????????????1000???????????,??????????????????????“?????????”(???????)????????,???

???????

??(PMI)????????????,??GDP???????????,??PMI????50%????????????,?????????????????

????,?????????????????????

??????????????,?12????????????,??????????????????????PMI?3??????50%????,???????????3??52%????????????????,????,??,?????,????????????54%,????????????

?,???,??????????,????????????2024?????????????12???,???????????????,??2025?????????????????,?????????(??) ????????:??