????:1?????????:??????

2?????????

3???????????

4?????????????

5??????????????

?7??1??????????? (??? ??)???????????????????????????(?????“???????????”)??2024??:?????????

???????????????????????????(Jim Reid)???,??????????????,???????????????,?????????????????,??????

“???????????????????,????????????????????????4????????????2024?????????0.5?????????????5.2%?????????????”???????????????????????????

???????????????????????,??,????????,???????????,?????????????????

???????????????(UBS)?????????????????????????,????????????GDP????????????????????????????,?????????????????,????????????????,????2.5%??2.3%?

??,????,?????????,???????????????????5??,???????????????????:“??6%???,??????????????????????????????????????????????,???2019?????”

“?,?????????????4????,?????????????”??????,?????,??????????????????????,??????????

????????????:“2024????,???????,?????????????????????,??,????GDP?????????????????????????0.6%??0.8%?”

“?????,?????5??,?????????????????”?????(????) ???:????????????????????