2024???????:????????????1.5°C?????
????:2025-02-11 18:56:03 ??:????
????:???????????:?????????
????????2?????????????????11???????????? (??? ?)?????«????????-?????»?????2024????«????????»?,2024??1.5°C,?????????1.5°C???????,?????????????????«??????»?????????
?????????????????????«??????????»???????1.5°C????????,2015????,«???»???,??1.5°C??????«??»????????20-30????,????(?????)????????
???????,??20??????????2020?2030???????????????,???2024????????1.5°C??????????,?«????»??????????
?????,??????????Emanuele Bevacqua??????????“?????????????????????6”(CMIP6)????????????,???1981??????????????????????2014???
??????????????,??????????????0.6°C-1°C?????,????20????????????????,?????2024?????????????1.5°C,????20???????????,?????????,2024????(????????????66%)??????????(??????99%)???????1.5°C????????????????20????????
????,???????????????(SSP)2-4.5????,?????????????,?????????1.5°C?????????????????20????????????,????????1.5°C????20??????,??20???????????????
????????Alex J. Cannon??????????CMIP6?,2024?????6?????12?1.5°C,????«?»????,??????????12??1.5°C?(???????20?????)??????????????????????,??????????SSP2-4.5???,?????????76%,??????SSP1-2.6???????????,???????????????56%?
????,?????,??18??????????????????????1.5°C????,??????SSP2-4.5????,?????
???????,????????????????????,??,??,???«???????»???????(??) ??????:?????
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