????:1??????????????:????????

2???????

3????????

4???????

5???????

???1???????4????????????? ???:??????????????????????2025:??????????? ???????

???? ??????????

??????????????????,??????????????,??????????2025????

“??”?

????????????,?????????

????????????????????????1?????????????????3??,???????9?????11????,?????????????????????50%????????????????,?????20%???

??“??????”,????“??”????????,??“???????????????”?????,??“??”??????????????????????,???????????

???????“??”??,?????,???????????????,??????????????????????????????????

?,????????“?????????????????????”?,?????

?????????????????

????,??

????,????1????????????11???,?????????(?????????????,???????????)????6.8%,????????????3.5?;??3.7?????

2025?,?????????????????304?,??????3860?????????????;????????2807???,?97??;?????????????616?????????,??????2.9???????????????

??????????????????????????????????????,?????????????,??????????????????????“??”???????,????????????????

?????2025??????????,???????????????????????

???????????,??????,2024??????7000????????????1.2????,2025???1000??????????,??“?????????”(????)?????,?????????????????

??????

??(PMI)??,????????????GDP?????????????????????,???????????????PMI?????????????50%?,?????????????

???????????,???????????

?????????,???????12?????,?????????????????PMI?3????50%?????????????,????????????????????3??52%??????????,??,??????,????????????????????????????????,?54%,????????????

??????,???,????????????,?????????????2024?12????????,?????????????????,?????????2025????????????????????,??(??) ??????????????????:??????????????