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2024?????:???????1.5°C????????????

2025-02-11 18:56:21 72099

????????2????11??????? (????? ???)???????????????????????«????????????-?????????????»?????2024???«???»??,2024???????????1.5°C,????1.5°C?????????????????,?«??»?????

??????«?????????»?????1.5°C????????????????,2015??????????,«????????»????,?????????????????????1.5°C???????«???????????????»???????????20-30?,??(?)?????

?,????20?????2020??????2030???????,?????????2024??1.5°C????????,????«?????»????????

?????????,??????????????Emanuele Bevacqua????????????????“??6”(CMIP6)?????,???1981?????????????????????2014?????????

??????????????,??????0.6°C-1°C???????????,?????????????????20?????????,????????????2024?????1.5°C,???????20????????????????????,??????????????????????,2024????(?????66%)??????(?99%)?????1.5°C???20???????????

???,???????????????(SSP)2-4.5?????????,??????????????????????,?1.5°C????20???????????,????????????????1.5°C????20?????,???????20?????????

????????????Alex J. Cannon?????????????????CMIP6???????,2024??????6?????12???1.5°C,??«????»??????????????,???????12?1.5°C??????????(????????20????)?????????????,????SSP2-4.5???????,????76%,??????SSP1-2.6????,???56%?

???????,??????????,??18??????????1.5°C????,??SSP2-4.5?????????????,?????

????????,??????????,??,???????????????,??«?»??????(??) ???:?????


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