????????2????11??????? (????? ???)???????????????????????«????????????-?????????????»?????2024???«???»??,2024???????????1.5°C,????1.5°C?????????????????,?«??»?????
??????«?????????»?????1.5°C????????????????,2015??????????,«????????»????,?????????????????????1.5°C???????«???????????????»???????????20-30?,??(?)?????
?,????20?????2020??????2030???????,?????????2024??1.5°C????????,????«?????»????????
?????????,??????????????Emanuele Bevacqua????????????????“??6”(CMIP6)?????,???1981?????????????????????2014?????????
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???,???????????????(SSP)2-4.5?????????,??????????????????????,?1.5°C????20???????????,????????????????1.5°C????20?????,???????20?????????
????????????Alex J. Cannon?????????????????CMIP6???????,2024??????6?????12???1.5°C,??«????»??????????????,???????12?1.5°C??????????(????????20????)?????????????,????SSP2-4.5???????,????76%,??????SSP1-2.6????,???56%?
???????,??????????,??18??????????1.5°C????,??SSP2-4.5?????????????,?????
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2017??????????????????6.6%…
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