????:1?????????:???????150

2??????100??

3???????

4???????

5??????????????

???????????????1?????4???????????? ????????:?2025:???? ??????????

????????????????????? ???????

???????????,???????????????,??????????2025?????

“??????????????”???????

????????????,???

????1????3?????????????,???9??????????????11??????,??????????????????????50%?????,????20%????

????????“???”,???“???????”???,??????????“????”?????????????????????,?????????????“?????”???????????,?????

????????????????“?????????”?,?????,?????????????????,??????????????????????????????????????

?????,??“??”??????????,????????????????????

?????

???????,????????????????

?????,??1???????????11????????????,????(??????,?????????????????)??6.8%,?3.5????????????????????????;??3.7????

2025?,?????????????????304??,??????3860?????????????;?2807?,?97???;??616?,????????????2.9??????

???????????????????????????????????????,??,?????????????“????????????????”?????????,???????

??2025???????,??????????????????

?,??,2024???7000???????????????????????????1.2???????????????,2025??????1000???????????,??“??”(?)??,???????????????????????

???????????????

?????????????(PMI)?????????????????,??GDP???????,??PMI?50%????????,????????????

???????????,??????????

???????????,??12???????????????,????PMI??????????3?????????????????50%???,????????3??????52%??????????,???????,?????????????????????,????????????????,??54%,??

??????,??????,????????????,?????????????????2024????????12?????,????,?????????????????2025????????????????????????????,?????????????(??????????) ???????????????????:??????