????:1???????????:??200?????

2???????

3?????2023

4???????

5?????????

12?30??????????,?????????,?,??2019????????????,?????????????????4.0(CMA-GFS4.0)?,?????????7.5??8.1????????;??????????25????12.5??????2019???????????100??45?????????????(CMA-MESO)???????????????????1??

???????????????????????5?????,????1?????,????????????10???????????,24????????????????????????????43????????????,???5????????????13.2%?24????(TS????)0.213,??????5?4.9%?(?)

?:??????