????“????”?
??:??????????????
??????2025.2.24?1176?????????????«???????????»????
2025??????2?????18???????????,?????????????????????????,?“?????????????????”???????“???????????????????”???????????,???????
??????,???????,?????????,??????????????????,????????,??????????????????
??????,??“???????????????,????”,??“????????”???????,???????18?,?“??”????????,???
????????????2????????????????????18????,??,???????????“??????,??????????????????”???????????????????????,“????????,‘??????,???’??,????(??????????????)?”
??????????????????,??????????????,????,??????????????????,?????????????????,??“?????????”?
?????????????“???????????”???????????????????????????????????????????????
????????????????
2???????????????13?????????????,??????????????????????????????????,??“????????????????????”??????????,??,???????????????????“???????????????”?
?????????????2024?????????????,???????????????,?????????????,??????:“?????????38???”
???,??,???????????
“??????,?????????,???????????????????(??????????)??????”??(OSCE)???????????«???????»????????????????
??????????????????????2?????????13????,????????????????????:??????,???????????,???????????????????????????,?????????
“????????????(????????)????,?:????”??????????????(ECFR)????????????????????,??????????????,????????,?????,?????
???????????????,??????“???????”?????????,??????,????????????“??”??????“24?????????????”???????????????“??????????????”????????“?????(4?20???)????????????????”,??????????????????????????????????????,?????
?????,2?????????????????18????????????,?????????????????????????????????????,?????????????????,???????????????
?????????????????????????????????,?,??????“????????????????????”?????????????????«????????»???????,???????,??????????????????“?????????”?
???????????????????????????????,?????????????,?????????,????????2024????,??,????????????????,??????????????????????,??
?,???????????????????2025??????,???????????,????1991??????????“???????????????????”,????????????????“????????????,????”??,???????????????????,????
??????2022?????????????????????,????????,????????,?????????“????????????????”?????,2022?????????,???????????????????,??????????????,???????
???????????????,?????????????????????????????????????????“??,???????????????,???????,??????”??????????????«???????????»????????,“??????????????????,?????????????????,??”
?????????????,??,?????,?????????,?????????,???????????????“??????????,????”
???????????????????????????????“????????????????????????????????”????????????(shock and awe)??????????????????????????«????????????????????»?????,????????????????????,?????????????????“?????,??,??????,??”?
“??????????????????????????,??,???????????????????”?????????????????????????????????,“??????????”????,????????????“????”?
???,?????????,????????????,?????????,??????;???????????????,??????“??????”,???????????????,?????“?????”??,????????,??????????????????“??????????”?
6??????2019??????,????,??????????????,??????:????????????,???????????????????????????????????????????????????,???
??????????????????,?,???????????????????,?“??”????????,?????,??????????2022???????????????,?????,???,“???????????(?????????????????)??????,?,????????????????”?
????????????????????????????,??????????,????????,?????,????????????????“??”?
“??????”
2025????????????????????????2?????????14??????????,????????????????????????,«????????????????????»???????????????,??“?”???:“?????????,????,?????????????????????????????????????????”
??????????????????,????????????????????????????,?????????,?????“?”,??????????????,??“???”?????,??????“???????????????,???”?
??,????????????????,???????????????????“?????????”???,?????“???”???????????????????????????????«?????????????»?????????????????????????????
???????,????????????“??????????”?,????????2025?1???,?,??????????,“???????,?????????”??????????????????????,??????????????????,?????????????????,???????“??”?
“???????????????,?????????????,??????”??????,“???,????”
?????????2024????????12???????????,????,????“??????”,???????????????????,???????????,?????“????”???????,??????????,??
??,???????????????????:2019????????,???????????“??????”?,???????????2020??????“??????????”,???????????????????“?????????”?????
??????,?????????????“???”,?????????????????????????????????????,2014??????????,??????????????????????????????«?»,????????????????????,???????“?”????
?????2020 ????????????? 6 ????????????????,??,?????????????????????“?????????????????”,??????????????????2016????????????2022????????????????2????????????,???????8?????????????????????????????,???
????,????????,??????????2014???????????????2022????????????????,???????????,?????“?????????????????????”,?????????2022??????????????:?5?,??????????????“???????????????,?????????????”?
?????????????????????????????????????«????»????????????,??,??,??????????????????,?????????:“??????,?????????‘????????,???????????’?”
??????????????????????????????????,?????????“????????”?????????“?”????,????????????????????????????,????,????????????,??????????????????????,???????,??,??
“??????,?,??????,???‘??’?”?????????
???????????????,???????????????????,?????,?????????:?,????,???????
??,?,???????????:????????:?,??????????????
“??????????????”
2024??????12???????18????????,“??”???????,??????,???????????????,???????????“?????????”??????????????,??
?????????????????????????,?????,?12??????????14???????????15?????????????????????“?????????????”,???????????“????”??????????????,?????,?????????????:???????????????,???????“?????????”?
??????????????????,????????????,????,????????????,???????????
???,???????????????“?????”???,????????????????????????????????????????????????????????7???????????????????«?????????»??????,??????“???????”????????????????????;??,???????????“?????”;??????????
??????????,?????????,????????“???????????”???????,?????????????“??????????????”???????????????????
????,?“??,?????”;?????????????????????,??????????“??????????????????????????”???,????????????????,???“???????????????????????”?
?,????????????????2025??2??????12?????????????????,??????14?????????????????????1.8?????????,?????,?50%???
???????????????????????????,???????????,???????,?????????????????????:??,??
????????????“???????”????????????,??????????????????15%,??????????2024??5???????23%???????????“???”,????????????????????????,??,??:??????
????????,???????????????????????????????????????????(GDP)?0.75%??????,??????????GDP??0.52%,?????????11??????????????
?????,???????????????????????“?????????????”,??????????“???????”???????????????????,????????????,???????????,????????,??????????????????5000????????
???????????????????????????,???,??????????????????????????????,?????????????????????,?????????????????,?,????????????????“????????”????????????
?,?????????????:?,“??????????”?????????????????????????????????????,????:“?????????????????????,?????????????,???????????????????”
?????????????,????,??700??????????,????????????????????????????:“??????????,??????????????,??????????????????????:????????????”
2024????????????????????,??,????????????????????“?????????????????????”?
“???:??????,??????,???????????????????”?????1918??????,????????????,???????????(John Joseph Pershing)???????????“???????????,????????????20??????”,??????????????????????????????????????????????
“?????????????????????”?????????????????:?,????????????????????????“????????????”???????,????
?????«?????»????,???????????,???????????????????????????,???????,???,???????“???”????,???????????????
???????,????????????,?????????????,??“??????????”,?????????,?????????,???????????????,???????“?????????,??”?
???????????2025??????????2???17?,???????????????“?????”????????????3??????????????????????????????????????????????,???????,?????????????
???????????“????”??,??????,????“????”??“??”;????????,???????????????????????«?????»????????,??????,???????????????????,???“?????????????????”?
«??»2025???????????????6??
??????????????????:??????«????????»??????????????? ?????:????????
??