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2024????????????:???????1.5°C?????

2025-02-11 15:50:57 63767

?????2??11????????????? (????? ???????)???????????????«????????-????»????????????2024????«?????????»????,2024??1.5°C,?1.5°C???,???«?????»??

????«??????????»??1.5°C?????????,2015???,«??????»????,?1.5°C???????????????«????»???20-30?????,????(??)????????????????

???????????,??????????????20????????????2020???2030?????????????,??????2024??????????1.5°C?????,????«???????»????????

?????????????????,??????????????????Emanuele Bevacqua?????????“????6”(CMIP6)???????,????????1981??????????????????????2014?????????????????

??,??0.6°C-1°C?????,??????20????????????????,??????????????????????2024???????????1.5°C,?????20???????????????,???????,2024????(????66%)??????(?????????99%)????1.5°C????20?????

????,????????(SSP)2-4.5???????,???,????????1.5°C?????????20???????,??????1.5°C?????20??????????????,????20???????????

????Alex J. Cannon?????????????????CMIP6?????,2024?????????????????6??????????12????1.5°C,??????«?»????????,????????12??1.5°C?(????????20?????)??????????????????????????,??SSP2-4.5??????,?76%,???????????SSP1-2.6?????????????????????,???56%?

???????,?????,?????????????18?????????????????????1.5°C?,????????SSP2-4.5?????,?????

??????,?????????????,???????,???????,????«??????????»?????(????) ??????????:??


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