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2024???????:????????????1.5°C?????

2025-02-11 21:28:08 66775

????????2????????11??? (????? ??)????«???????-???????????????»?????2024???«?????????????????»???,2024?1.5°C,????1.5°C??,????????????????«????»????????????

????????????«????????????»????????????????1.5°C???????????????,2015??,«?????»??????????,?????????1.5°C???????????????«???????»???????20-30?,??????(??????????????????????)??????????????????????

????????,?????????20???2020?????2030?????????????,?????????????????????2024?????????1.5°C??,??????????????«????»??????????

????,?????????????????????????Emanuele Bevacqua??????“????6”(CMIP6)???,???1981?????2014??????????

??????,?????0.6°C-1°C??????????,??????????20???????????????,????2024????1.5°C,?20???????,????,2024????????(?66%)???????(??????99%)?????????1.5°C???20?????????

???,?????????????(SSP)2-4.5????????,?????,????1.5°C??????20??????????,??1.5°C??20????,??????20??????

?????????????Alex J. Cannon????CMIP6????,2024??????????6??12???????1.5°C,???«???????»??????????,???????12?????1.5°C??????(?????20???????????)????????,??????????SSP2-4.5????,????76%,???SSP1-2.6??????????????,??56%?

????,??,?????????????18??????????????????????1.5°C????,???SSP2-4.5????,???????????

????,???????????????????????,?,????,???????????????«????»?????????????(???????) ?????:?????


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