????:1?????????????:???????????

2?????????

3??????????

4???????????

5?????????

???????????????2??19??????? (???????)???2?19??????????,2024???????,??????????????????1097.5??(???,??????????),??????????9.2%,??????????????3.6?,???

???????????

???,??“????????????+??????????????????”??????,????“?”????,??????????242????200???????????????3746?????????????????928.07????“????????,????2024?????,??????1796???,??????19.4%?”

????,?????,???,?“???????????????????????”?,??“?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????,?????????????????”??????????????“???????????”?????????2024????,??2057.78??,??????????????17.7%,????????????????7.8?????

?,??????“???”,???“?????????????????”??????????????,???“??,??????”?

“‘???’????,????????????????????????????”?????????????,“????”???????,??????,????,??????????????????,“???”????????113??????384??????,??308???

????,????(??AIC)??“????????????”??????????????????????,??“???????”??????“????”???????????????????????????????????,?????????????,???“?????,????6??AIC??????,??40??AIC????????,?????????”(????)

??????????????????:?????