?? ????“????”?
????:1??????:??????????
2??????
3??????????
4??????
5??????????
???????????????????:?????????????
??????????????????2025.2.24??????????????1176???????????????????«????????????»??????????????????
2025???????????????????????2???????18?????,?,?“???????????”?????????????????“???”???????,?????????????
???????,??,???????,???????????????????????,?????,????????
???,?????????????“????????????,???????????????????????????????”,???????????“?????????”????????,???????????????18??????????,?????????????“?????????????????”?????????????????,??????????????????
??????2????????18????????????,???????????????,??????????????????“??????,??”?????????????????????,“???????,‘???????????????,???????’??,??????(????????)?”
????????,???????????????????,?,??????????????????????????????????,?,??“?????????”?
????????????“????????”???????????????????????????????????????????????????
?????????????
2?????????????13????,????????????,???????“???”????,???????????,????????????????????????????????“??”?
??????????????????2024????,??????????????????,????,??????:“??????38???????????”
????????,????????,????????
“???????????????,????????,??????????????????????????(??)?????????????????”???????????(OSCE)?????«???????»???????????
???????????2????????13???????????????,??????????:?,?????????????????,?????????,???
“???????????????????(???????)?,????:?????????????????”??(ECFR)?????????????????????,?????????,??????,???????????????????,??
?????????,????“???????”????,????,??“??”????“24????????”??????“??????????????????”??????“?(4??20??)?????????????????????????”,??????????????????????????????????,?????????????
??????????????????,2????????18?,??????????????????????????????????????????,?????????????????????????,???????????????????
???????????????????????,?????,???????????????????“??”????????????«?????????»??????,??????????????????,????“???????”?
??????????,??????,???????,???????????2024?,?????????????,?????,?????????????????????,??
?????,??????????????????2025???????????????????,???????????????????????????????????????????,??????????????1991??????“?????????”,?????????????“????,?????”??????????????,????????????????????,???????????????????
?????????2022???????????,????,????????????????,?“?????”???????????,2022?????,??????,????????,???????
?????????????,????????????????????????????????????“??????????,???????????????????,????,????”?«????»????????,“?????????,?,???????????????”
??,???????????????,????????,????,???????????????,?????????“??,??????”
?????????????????????“?????????”????????(shock and awe)??????????????????????«????»????????????,??,??????????“??????????,???????????,????????,??????????????”?
“????,?????????????,?????????????”??????????????????????????????????????????????,“?”????????????????????,????????“???”?
??????????????,????????,?????????????????????????????????,????,?;????????,??????“?????????”,????????????,?????????“?”???,????????????,?????????????“???????”?
6??2019???,??,??????????????????????????????????,???????????????:???????,????????????,???
????????????????????,?,??,????????“??”????????????,????,??2022?,????,???????,“??????(????????)?,????????????????????,???????”?
??,?????????????????????????????????????,?????????????????????,????????????????,?????????“????”?
“???”
2025??2??????????????14?????????,?,«???»????????????,???“??????”???????????????????:“?????????,?????????????????,?????????????????????????”
????????????????,??????????????????????????????????????????????,???????????????????,???????????“?????”,?????????????????????,?“??????????”???,????“??,??????”?
???,??????,??“???????”??????????????????,???????“???????”????????????????«???????????????????»??
??????????,??????“????????”????????,????2025????????????????????1???????,???????????????????,???,“?,????”??????,??,??????????????????,??????????????????“??”?
“??,???????????,?????????????”????????????,“???????????,???????????????”
??????????2024?12??,?????,??????“?????????”,????????????????,??????????????????????,?????????“??”?????????????,????????????????,???????
??????,????:2019?,???“?”?????????,???2020????????????“?????????”,?????????????“??????????”????
??????????,?????“????????????????????????”,???????????????????,2014??,???????????????????????????????????????«???»,?????????????????????,????????“?????????????”??
?????2020 ???????? 6 ??????????,?????,???????“?????????????”,???????????????2016?????????2022????????????????????2??????,???????8????????????????????????????????,?????
???????????,??????????????,????????????2014?2022??,???????????????????,??“??????????????”,?2022???????:???????????????5???????????????,?“????,??????”?
???????????????????????????????«???????????????»??,?,?????,??????,?????????:“??,???‘??,????’?”
??,?“?????????????”??????????????????“?????????????”?,????,???????????,???,???????????????,?????????,??????????????,???????????
“???????,??????????,?????????????????????????,???????????‘??’?”????????
?????,??????????,???,?????????:??????,??????????????????,????????
????????????????,??????????,??????:????????????????:?????????????????????????,?????????????????????????????????????????????
“??????”
2024?????????12???????18?????,“?????????????”?????????????,?????,???,????????????“???????”?????????????????????????????????,?????????????????????
?????????,???????????????,??????12?????14??????????15???????????????“?”,????????????????????“???????????????”???????????????????,????,????:?????????,?“???”?
????????????????????,????????????,??????????????,????????????????,??????????
?,??????????????????“???????”?????????????????????????,????????????????????????????????????????7???????«?????????»??????????????,??????????????“????????????????”??????;?,?????“?”;??????????????????????????
?,??????,??????????“??????????????????????????”????,?????????????“?????????????????”?????????????
?????????,????????????“?????????????????????,???????”;???????????????????????????,??????????????????????“???????????????????????”?????,??????????,???????“????????”?
?????????,?????????????????2025????????????2???????????12???????,???????14???????1.8??????????,??,????????50%???
??????????????????????,???,????????,???????????:?????????????,???????
???????????????????????????????????“??????”????????,??????????15%,???2024????????????????????????5???23%?????????“???????”,????????????????,??????,????????????:??
?????????????,???????????????????????????????????????(GDP)???????0.75%???????,?????????????????????????GDP??0.52%,??????????11??????
????????,?“?????”,????“????????????????????”?????????????????????????????,???????????????????????????????????,???????,??,??????5000?????????????????????????????
????????,??,???????????????????????????????????????,??????????????????,?????????????????????,?????????,?“????”????
???,?????????:??????,“??”?????????????????????????????,???????????????????????:“???????????????????,???????????,????”
???????????????,???????????????????????,??????700?????,????????????:“?????????????????????,????????,????????????:?????????”
2024??????,????????????????????,???????????????“???????”?
“???????:???????,?????????????????????,?????????”???????1918???????????,??????????????????????????????????,??????????(John Joseph Pershing)??“??,???????????????20?”,?????????????????????????
“???”????????????????:?????,??????????????????“???????”?????????????????????,??????????
????????«????»????????????????,???????????,??????????????????,?????,?????????????,?“?????”????????????????,???????
??????????????,?,????????,???????????“?????????????????”,?????????????????????????????????,??????,??????????????????,???“?????????????????,???????”?
???????????2025???????????2???17??,??“?”???????????????????????????????????????3?????????,??????????,????????????
??“?????”???????????????????????????,?????????????,???????????“?????”???????“????????”;??,??????????????????«?????????????????????»??????,????????????????????,????????????????????,????????“???”?
«????????????????»2025????????6?????
???????????:?????«?????»??????????? ???:???????