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2024???????:?????1.5°C????????????

2025-02-11 20:44:14 78089

?????????2??11?????????? (???????? ???)????????«????-????»??????????????2024???«????????????»????????,2024??????1.5°C,??1.5°C?????,?????«??»???????

????????????«?????????????»??1.5°C????????,2015??????,«??????????????»??????,?????????1.5°C?????????«????????»????20-30?????,????????????(???????????)???????????

???????????????,?????????20?2020??????2030????????????????????,??2024???????1.5°C?????,???????«?????????»??

???????,???????????????Emanuele Bevacqua?????????????????????“?????6”(CMIP6)????????????????,?1981????2014?????

?????????????,????0.6°C-1°C??????,??????????????????????20?????????????????????????,????2024?????1.5°C,???????20????????????,?????,2024?(???66%)???????(???99%)???1.5°C????20??????

?????????????????,?????????????????????????(SSP)2-4.5??????,????,??1.5°C?????20????????,??????????????1.5°C??20?,???????????????20????????????

???????????????????Alex J. Cannon??????CMIP6?????,2024???6?????????????????????12?????1.5°C,?«????»?,???12??1.5°C?????????(?????????20??)?????????????????,??????????????????????SSP2-4.5?,????76%,????SSP1-2.6????,??????????56%?

???????,??????????,??????????18??1.5°C????,??SSP2-4.5????,??????

??????????,??????????,????,???????,????«??????»????(????) ?????:????????


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