?? 2024???????????? ?????????????

????:1???????:??????????
2???????
3???????????
4?????????
5????????
????2????19?? (??????)???2????19???,2024??????????,???1097.5??(???,??),??9.2%,??????3.6???????????????,???????????????????

????????????????????,???????????????“???+??????????”????,???????“????”??,????242??200???3746??????????928.07?????????“???????,??????2024???,????1796?????,??????19.4%?”
??????????????,??????????,???,??????“?????????????????”??,???“????????????????????????????????????????,???????????????????????????????????????”?????“??”??????????????2024??????????????,??????2057.78????,???????17.7%,??????7.8???
???,????“???”,???????“??”????????,????“??????,????????????”?
“‘????????’????,????????????????????????????????????????”?????????????,“??”???????????,???????,??,???????????????????????????????????,“????”????????????113??????384?,????????????????308???
?????,??(??????AIC)??????????????“???”???,?????????????????“??????????”??“???????????????????????????”????????????????????????,?????,??????“??????,???6?AIC?????????????????????,?40????AIC????,????????”(?????)
?????:?????