????“????”?

????:??????????????????????????

??????2025.2.24????1176?????????«?????»????????

2025?2??????????18?,????????????,?????????????????????“??”??“?”????????,?????????????

??????????,???,?????,???????,???,??????

??????,?????“???????????????????,???”,????????????????????“????”??????,??18???????,?????“?????????”???????,???????

??????????????2??????????18??,??,??????????“?????,????????”???????????????????????????????????????,“???????,‘????????????????,????????’????????????????????,????????????(??????????)?”

????,?????,??????,????????????,????????,??“????????”?

????????????????“??”???????????????????????????????????????

??

2????13??????,?????,?????????“??????”????,?????,?????????“???????”?

?????2024??????,??????????????,???????????????????,???????:“?????????38??????”

???????,??????,????????????????????

“???????????????,??,??????????????????(??????????)??????????????”????????????(OSCE)????????????????«???????»????????????

????????2??????????13?????????????,?????????????????????:?????????????,?????????????????????????????????,???????????????????????,?????????????????

“????(?)??????,??????????????????:??????????”???(ECFR)?????????????????????????????,???????,????????????,????????????????????????,??????????

?????????????????????????????????,?“?????????????”??,???????????,???????????“??????????????????????????”????????????“24?”?????????????????“????????”????????“????????????????????(4???20??)????????????????????”,????????????????????????????,??????????

????????????????,2?????????18????????????????????,???????????????????,??????????????????????????????,????

??????????????,????????,??????????????“??????”???????«?????»????????,????????????????????,????????“???”?

?????????,???,?????????????????,??2024?????,?????,???????????????,?????????????????????????????,??

???????,??????2025???????????????????????????,??????????????????????????????????,???????????????????1991???????????????“?”,??“????????,?????”???????????,????,?????

???????????2022?,???????????,???????????,????????????“??????”???,2022?????????,?????????????????????????????,??????????,????

???????????????????????????????,????????????????????“??????,????????????,???,?????????”????????????«??????????»??????????????????,“??,??????????,???????”

????????????????????????,????????????????????,??????????????????????????,????,???????????,?????????“????????,???”

???????????????????????????“???????????”???????????????(shock and awe)?????????????????????????????????????«?»?,?,?????“???????????????,????,????????,????????”?

“?,????????,??????????”??????????????,“?????????????????????”????????????????,?“??”?

??????,?,??????????????,??,??;?????????,?????????“?????????????”,???????????????,?“?????????????”?????,????????,?????????????????????????“?”?

6????????????????2019????????????,???????????????,????????????????????????????,?????????????:??????????????,????????????????,????

?????????????,????????,??????,??????????????“???????????????????”?????????????????????????,?????????????????????,???????????????2022???,???????,?????????,“????(?????????)?????????????,?,??”?

?????????????????,?????????????????,?????????????????,????,??“???????”?

“??????????”

2025??????????????2????????14??????????????????,?????????,«??????????????????»??????,????????????????“???”???????:“?????,??????????????????????????????,??????????????????”

????,???????????????????????????????,????????????????,???????????????????“?????????????”,??????,???????????“?????????????”??????????,????????????“??,????????????”?

???????,????,???????????????“????????”??????????????????,????“????”?????????«??»???????

???,???????????“????????????????????”???????????,???????2025???1????????????????????????????,???????,???????????????????????,“????,?????”???,????????????????????,????????????,??“???????”?

“?????????????????????,???????????,???”??,“?????????,???????????????????”

????????????2024????12???????,?,??????“??????????????????”,????????????????????????,?????????????????????????????,?????“???????”?,??????,??

????,?????????????????????????????:2019??????????????,????????????????????????????“??????”?????????,????????2020??????????????“??”,???????????“??????”???

??,?????????????“??”,???????,2014????????????????,????????????????????????«????????»,?,????“????????????”?????????

?????????2020 ???????? 6 ?????????,????????????,????????“??????”,?????????????????????2016??????????????2022?????????2???????????,???????8?????,????

??,????,??????2014?????????2022???????????,?????????????????????????????????,????????“?????????????????”,???????????2022??:????????5????????,???????????????????????“???,??”?

????????????????????????????????????«?»?,??,?????????????????????,?????????????,????:“??,?????????‘???,??????????????’?”

??????????,???“??????????????”??????“???????”??,??????????????????????,?,??,????????????????????,???????,??,???????

“??????????????????????,??????????????????????,?????????,???????????????‘??????????????’?”?????????????????????

?????,??????????????????????????,???????,???????????:??????,???????????,??

???,??,?????????????????????:?????????????????:??????????????,???????????????????????????????

“????????????????”

2024?????????12?18???????????,“?????????????”????,????????????????????????,???????,??“?”??????????????????,?????????????????

?????????,??,???????12??14??15?“???”,?????????“?????????????”??????????????,???????????,????:??????,??????????????????“????”?

???????????????????????,???????????????????????????,?????????,????????,???????????????????

??????????,??????????“?????????”??????,????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????7????????????????????????????«???»????,??“?????????????”???????;???????????????,???????????“???”;????????????????????

??????????????????????,???????????????????????????????,??????????“???????”???????????????,?“??????????”???

?????????????????????????,???????????????“??????????,?????????”;???????????????,??????????????“???”??????????,??????????,?????“????”?

?,???????2025???????????????2?????12???????????????????,????14??1.8??????????????????????,????????,???????????????50%???

?????????????????,?????????????????,??,??????????:?????,?????????

?????????????????????????????“?????”?????????,?????????15%,???????????????????2024???????????????5?????23%????????????“??????????????????”,???,????????????,???????:??????

?????????????,????????????????????????????????????(GDP)?????????????????0.75%???????,?????????GDP?0.52%,????11?????????????????????

??????????????????????????????????,????“???????????????”,?????????????“?????????????”?????????????????,???????????????,????????,????,??????????????5000?????????

?????????????????????????????????,???????????,?????,???,???????????????,??,???????“??????”?????

????????????????,???????:??,“????”?????????????????????,???????:“???????????????????,???????????????,??????”

??????????????????,????,??????????700???,??????:“????????????????,?,?????????:??????????”

2024????,??,????????????????????“??????”?

“?:?,??????????????????,????????”???????1918????????????????,???????????????????????????,??????(John Joseph Pershing)??????????“??????????,?????20?????????”,?????????????????????????????????????????????

“?????????????????”????????????????????:??,?????????????“????????????????????”????????????????????,??????

???????????????????????????«??????????????????»?,???????????????,????????????????????????????????????????,????????????,???????????????,???????????????????“??”??????????,??????????/p>

?,?,?????,????????????????“?????”,?????????????,?????,???,????“??,??”?

???????????????2025?????2????????????17?,??“???????”???3??????????????,??????????,???????

??????“?????????????”???????,????????????????????????,????“????”??????“?”;???????????????????????,?????????????????????????«?????????????????»??????,?,?,?????????????????“???????????”?

«????»2025??????????????????6???????

????:?????????«???????»? ?????????????????:?????