2024?????:????????????1.5°C???????
????:2025-02-11 18:57:52 ??:????
????:?????:???????150?
????????2?????????????????11?? (??? ?????)????????????«????-?????»????2024?????????«?»???????,2024?????1.5°C,???????????1.5°C????,??????«????»????
??«??»????1.5°C????????????????,2015??,«????»?????,????1.5°C?????????«?????????»???????20-30?,??(??????????)??????????
????????????,??20??2020?????????????2030??????????????,????????????2024????????1.5°C?????,??????????????????????«????»??
???,??????????Emanuele Bevacqua????????“?6”(CMIP6)????,?????????1981??????????2014???????????
?????,?????0.6°C-1°C????,???????????????20????????????????????,???2024??????1.5°C,??20????????????????????????,??????????????,2024????(????????66%)????(??????????99%)???????1.5°C??????20????
???????,??????(SSP)2-4.5???,??????????,?????1.5°C????????20????????????,??????????????????????1.5°C?20??????,??????????????20??
????????????????????Alex J. Cannon????CMIP6??????????,2024????6?????12???????????????1.5°C,??«??»???????,??????????12???1.5°C?????(?20??????)???????????????????????,?????????????SSP2-4.5????,?????????????????76%,???SSP1-2.6?????????,??????56%?
????????,????,???????18????1.5°C????,????SSP2-4.5?????????????????,??????????????????????
????,??????????????????,?,???????,?????????????????????«?????»??????(????) ?????:??
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