????:1???95??:????2021

2???????

3???????

4???????

5??????

???????????????1????????????4??????? ?????:?????????2025:??? ??????????

?? ?????

????????????????,??????????,??2025??

“??”???????????

??????,???????

?????????????????????1?????????????????3???????,?9????11????,?????50%??,?20%?????????????????

????“???”,????????????????“??????????”?????????,??“??”??????????????????????,?????“?????????????”?????????????,???????????????????????

????“????”???????????,?????????,?????????????,??????????????????????????????????

????????,??????????“??”?,???????

??

?????,???

?????????,??1??11????????,?(??????????,?????????)?????????????????6.8%,??????????3.5????????????;????????????3.7?????

2025?????????????,????????304?????,?3860??????????;????????????????2807???????,??????????????97?????;?????????????????616?,?????????????2.9????

?????????????????????????,?,?????????????????????“?”????,????????????

????????????????????????2025??,???????????????????

??????,?????????????????,2024?????????????????7000???????????????????1.2????????,2025?1000?????????????????????????????????????,??????“???????????????????”(??)??,???

???????????????

???(PMI)????,??GDP??????,????????PMI?????????????????50%????,???

??????,??

?????????????,????????????12???????,???PMI?3???????????50%???,?????????????????????3???????????????52%???,????????????????????,????????????,?????????????????????????,???????54%,???????

???????????????,?????????????,???????,????????????2024????12???,??,???????????2025??????????????????????????,???(?) ???????:???