????:1?996?????:??????

2???????

3???????

4???????????

5???????

??????2???????19???? (????)??2??????????????19????????????,2024???,???1097.5?(??,??),??9.2%,??3.6??????????,?????

?????????????

??,???“?????????????????+????”??????????,???????“?”?,?????242????????200??????????????3746???928.07??“????????????????????????,??????????????????????2024??????????????????,?????1796???,???????????19.4%?”

??,????????????,??,????????“?????????????????????????????”??,????????????????“??????????????????????????????????,??????????????????????”??????????“??”??????????2024????,??2057.78????,???17.7%,????7.8????

???,??????????“??????????????”,??????“???”?????,???“????,????”?

“‘???’??,???????????????????????????????????????????????????”????,“????”?????????????????,??,???,???????????????????????????????????,“??????”????113??????????????????????????384????,??308?????????

??????,????????????????????(??????????????AIC)??????“??????”???????,??“????????????”?“??”???????????????????????????,???????????????,??????“???,??????6????AIC????,???40??AIC??,???????”(??????)

???:???