?? 2024???????????? ?????????????
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????:1???????????:????200?????
2?????????
3???????200??
4???95??98???
5???????????
??2???19???????? (????)???????2??????????19??,2024???,??????1097.5????????????????????(??,???????),??????????9.2%,??????????????3.6????,????
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???,?“??????+?????????????????”?,????????????“???????????????????????????”????,??242???200?????????????????3746???????????????928.07???????“??????????????????,??????????????2024????,?1796????,?19.4%?”
??????????????,??????????????????????,???????????????,?????“???????????????”??,??“??????????????????????????????????????????????????,???????????????????”???“???????”???????2024???,??2057.78????,??????17.7%,??????????7.8??????
??????????????????,???????????“??????”,???????“?????????????????????”?,??“????,??????????”?
“‘???’??,?????????????????”?????????,“??????????”????????????????,?,??????,???????????????????????????,“???”????????????113???????384??,??308???????????????????
?,????(???AIC)??????“????”??,??“????????”????“??”?????????????,???????????????,????“??,???6??AIC??????,????40???????AIC????,????????”(????????)
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