?????????????2?????11????? (?????? ?????????)??????«????????????????-?»????2024??????«??????»????,2024??????????????????????1.5°C,???????????1.5°C?????,?????????«?????»?????????
???«???»???????????????1.5°C????????????,2015?,«????????»?????????????????,??????1.5°C?????«????»?????20-30??????????,?????(????????)?????
??,????20??2020?????????2030?????????,??????????2024??????1.5°C????,??«?????»???
?????,??????????Emanuele Bevacqua?????????????????????“????????6”(CMIP6)????????????,????1981?????2014???????????????
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??????????????????????,?????????(SSP)2-4.5????,????,?????????1.5°C??????????20?????????,???????1.5°C????20??,?20??????????????
???????????Alex J. Cannon??????????CMIP6???,2024????????????6???12???????1.5°C,?«??????»?????,????12??1.5°C????????(???20????????????)???????????????????,????????????????SSP2-4.5?,??76%,??????SSP1-2.6?,???????56%?
???????,??????????,??18??????????1.5°C?????????,?????SSP2-4.5???????,??????
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