??
?2??????????????6????????? ?????,??,2025?????1?????????PMI?????50%,????????????????0.5?????,??3???????????,2025??1?????,??PMI?????????????????,????????????????????13???????50%??;???????PMI?50%????????????????????,????9??????????????50%?????;???????PMI??PMI??,?50%??
????????????????,????,??????????????,??????,???,??,?????????,??;????????,?????
?2025??????,?????2025?????????????????????????«??»????2025?3.3%,??2024?10??0.1?????????????«2025??»??2025????2.8%,?????2024??????
??????????????????????????????????????,????????????????????????,??????????????;??????,??????;??????2025???????????,????????????2025?,??????
??????????????,PMI??????
2025????1???????,?????PMI?????47.8%,??1??,??2????,???????????PMI?????52%????????;???PMI?????????????????????????,??????????50%??????????????;???????????????????PMI????????????????????????,??50%???
?????,????????????PMI?????,?????????48%????????????????,????????,??????????????????????????????,2024????????????????????????????(GDP)?????0.2%,??????????????????????2025??????0.3%,???????1.1%?????????,??2025????1.1%???????????0.9%????????????????????????,??,??????????,????????,????6????????????????????
?????,PMI??????????50%??
2025??1??????????,???PMI??50.9%,????1.3?????,?????????????????????3??,??50%????,?????????????????,?????????????PMI??,?????50%???,??PMI??????????,????????????????50%????????
??PMI??????????PMI?????????ISM???,2025????1?,???????????PMI??50.9%,?????49.2%????1.7??????,????????????????????????????????3???????,??,???????,????,?????????52%????,????????2?????????????????????????????4.25%-4.5%????????????????????,?????CPI??????3%??2024????????????12????????,??????????CPI? 2.9%?
?,PMI??50%???????
2025?????????????????1?????,??????????PMI?????????49.4%,?????0.8????????????,????????PMI???????????????????????????,?????????52%,?????PMI?50%?,?????????PMI??4????????????????,??46%?????,?PMI???????
???,???????????????,???????,?,??????????????????????????????,????????????,????,????,?????2025?????4.3%? ????????????????????
??,PMI?????
2025??????????1?????????,???????PMI???????50.7%,??????????????????????????0.4??????????,?????????????13??????50%????????????,???????????,??PMI??????????????????????????????????PMI??57%?????????????????,???????????????????????????????????????????????PMI????50%??????????????;????????PMI??50%???????????????PMI?????,?????50%?????;?????????????PMI??????????,???????50%??????
?,??????,????????????????????????????,???????,???????????????????????????«???»?????????????????????2025??4.6%,????????2024???????????10????0.1?????????
???:????????????
?????2025?1??????PMI?50% ??3????????????????????