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????,?????20??????????2020?2030????????????,??????????2024????1.5°C????,??????«?»???????????
??,??????Emanuele Bevacqua??????“???????6”(CMIP6)????,????1981?????????????2014????????
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???????????????????Alex J. Cannon?????CMIP6????,2024??6??????????????????????12??1.5°C,????«?????????»???????????,?????12??1.5°C??????????????(??????20????????)?????????????????,?SSP2-4.5????????,???76%,???????SSP1-2.6??????,????????56%?
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