????:1?????????:?????100???

2?????????

3???????wx

4?????

5????9598?

??2????19??? (?????)????2????????19??,2024??????,???1097.5??????????????????????(????????????,??????),???????9.2%,??3.6??????,???????????????

??????

?,???“???+?????”????????????????????,???????????“???????????????”???????????,????242???200??????3746????928.07????“??????????????????????,???????2024????,??1796???????,??????????19.4%?”

??,?????????????????????,?????,????“??????????”??,??????“???????????????????????????,????????????????”?“??????”????????2024??????????,???2057.78???,?????????????????17.7%,??????7.8???????

?????,??“???”,??????????“????”??????,???????“?,???????”?

“‘?????????????????’????,????????????????????????????????????”???????????????????????,“????”???,??????????????,??,???????????,“???????????????????????????”??????113?????????????????384????????,????308???

??,?????(????AIC)???“??”????,????“??”???????????????“????????”????????????????????????????????????????,?????????????????????????,?????“????,??????6??AIC?,????????????????40??AIC??,???”(??????????)

????????:???????