????:1????????????:??????

2?????

3???????????????

4?????????2023

5??????????

????2????19?? (??????????)???2??????19??,2024?????,??1097.5??(??,????),????????????9.2%,??3.6??,???????????????????

?????????

???????????????,????“???+???”??,?????????????????“????”???????????,????????????????????242????????200????????????????3746??????928.07???????????????“?????????????????,??2024??????,????1796??????????,???19.4%?”

????,??????,???????,?“???????????????”??,???“????????????????????????????????????????,???????????????????????????????????”???“???????????????”?????????2024???,?????2057.78???????,????????17.7%,??7.8?????

??????,?????“??”,??????“??”??????????????,???????“???????,???”?

“‘??’??,????????????????????????????????”????????????????????,“?”?,??????,??????????????????????,????????????????????????????????????,“???????”??113?????????????????????????384?,??????????308???????

?,????(?AIC)???“????”??,????????“?????”????“???”??????????????????????????,?????????,?????“??,???6???????????????????????????AIC????,????????????40?AIC?????????????????,????”(??????)

????:??????