?? 10?????20%!????“???”?????
????:1?996?????:??????
2???????
3??????????????
4???????
5????????
???????,???????????
????10??????,?????20%,????1200????????,?????????????????8??????????????????????????50%???????????????,???????
?????,???????????
“???”
???????????????????????????????????,???????????1?,??????????8%???????,??????,????????????,?????
????????????85%??????????????,????????????,????,???????????????2018~2022????400%?
?????????????????,?????????????????????????????,????????38%?????????????????????????,??????????????40%?
????????,????15%?????????,????????
“?????????????,??????????”?????(Daniel Ghali)???,???,??????????,“???????”?
??????????????????10%?
??????
2022??????????????,????????????????3000??????????????????????????????
????????????????????,????????????????????????,??????900?????????????????1000?????????????????????(IEA)?????????????????,??????????30%????????????????Marex?(Edward Meir)?????:“2024???????????????????????????20%,???????”
??????,????????????????????????????????????,?????2024??????30?????????????????????????????????,??????,????????????????,????????????????
??????????????????????2024??????????????????5?????,?????????????????????????????,??????????????,?????????2026??
????????????????(ING)???????????????????????????(Warren Patterson)??????????????????,??,?????????,??????????????,???????
????????????Bullion Vault???????????(Adrian Ash)?????????????,????????2050????????,???????,???????,“????????????????,???????????,??????????????????????????,???????????????????” ???:????????????????????