???????????12?????3????????(????????? ?????? ???????????)????“????????????”????,?????????????????????????,???????????????????;??????,??????,????????;?,?????????????????????????……

12????3?????????????????33???????????????,????(????????????????)?“???????????”???????“??????”??,???????,????????????“?????????????”????

?????

? ???????“??????????????????”

5.2???????????,18.5????,?????????????18????,25????????????????????????……??,???????????????,??“???”?

“????????????????????,??????????,?????”??????????????

????????????????,???????????????????????,?????????????,???,?????8?????67?,??????????????????????????????????????????

????,??????,????????????(????)?????????,?????????????????????????,?????

??????????????????????

??????? ??????“???”

“???????????,?????????????????”????????????????????,??????(????????????)?????????,“???????????,??”?,?,???????????,????????,??????????????????????????????,????

????????????????????????????????????????;??99.5%……????????????,????????

??????????,???,????????????????????57???????????,?????????9??

????

?? ???????????

“????,????????????????????????????,?????????????”??,“??????”

???,????????690?????????????????,5??????2982?????????????????????,??????????????????1152???????????,?????23??????????????

???,???????????????,??“????”,??“??”“?????????????????E????????”“???????????”??????,?????????E??????????,????????????????????????????????????????????????????,????????????????????????????????????????14?????????????,????

“??‘?????????????????’,?????????????????????????????”???,??????????????,?????????????????????,????????????(?????)

??????:??? ??“??p?????”????

?? ???:??????“????”

????:1???p?????:????????

2?????????

3?100?1?????

4?????

5????????

???????????12?????3????????(????????? ?????? ???????????)????“????????????”????,?????????????????????????,???????????????????;??????,??????,????????;?,?????????????????????????……

12????3?????????????????33???????????????,????(????????????????)?“???????????”???????“??????”??,???????,????????????“?????????????”????

?????

? ???????“??????????????????”

5.2???????????,18.5????,?????????????18????,25????????????????????????……??,???????????????,??“???”?

“????????????????????,??????????,?????”??????????????

????????????????,???????????????????????,?????????????,???,?????8?????67?,??????????????????????????????????????????

????,??????,????????????(????)?????????,?????????????????????????,?????

??????????????????????

??????? ??????“???”

“???????????,?????????????????”????????????????????,??????(????????????)?????????,“???????????,??”?,?,???????????,????????,??????????????????????????????,????

????????????????????????????????????????;??99.5%……????????????,????????

??????????,???,????????????????????57???????????,?????????9??

????

?? ???????????

“????,????????????????????????????,?????????????”??,“??????”

???,????????690?????????????????,5??????2982?????????????????????,??????????????????1152???????????,?????23??????????????

???,???????????????,??“????”,??“??”“?????????????????E????????”“???????????”??????,?????????E??????????,????????????????????????????????????????????????????,????????????????????????????????????????14?????????????,????

“??‘?????????????????’,?????????????????????????????”???,??????????????,?????????????????????,????????????(?????)

??????:???