????????12???21???????????? ??????????:???20??????????????21????,????????5??????????????,200?????

???????????????-??????,???????24??????????????,???????????????????????,????????????,??

?????-????????,?????????????????????,?????,???????????,?????????????

????,?21??????,??????????2??5??????,???????200?????????????,?????21???,?????????40??????????????

???????,??????????????????50???????,???Taleb A.,???????????????????,2006???????

????????????,????????,??????????????????20????,?????

21?????,??????????????,????????????(???) ????????:??? “????????”?????

?? ????5??? 200??????????????

????:1?????????:???????

2??????????

3???????????

4?????????

5??????

????????12???21???????????? ??????????:???20??????????????21????,????????5??????????????,200?????

???????????????-??????,???????24??????????????,???????????????????????,????????????,??

?????-????????,?????????????????????,?????,???????????,?????????????

????,?21??????,??????????2??5??????,???????200?????????????,?????21???,?????????40??????????????

???????,??????????????????50???????,???Taleb A.,???????????????????,2006???????

????????????,????????,??????????????????20????,?????

21?????,??????????????,????????????(???) ????????:???