??????:???????????????

????:??????:??????????

?????????????7??1???? (???? ?????????)????????????(????????????“????????????????????????”)???????????????2024??????:???

?????(Jim Reid)?????????????????????????,???????????????????,?????????????????,?,???

“?????,?????4??2024???????????????????????0.5??5.2%?????????????”???????????????????????

????,??????,?,??,???????????????????????????

???????????????(UBS)???????????????,?????????GDP???????????????????????????,???,????????????,????2.5%?????2.3%?

???????????????????,???????????,????,??????????????5???,??????????:“????????????????6%???????,??????????????????????????????????????????????????,???????????2019???”

“?????????????,????????????????????4????,????????????”??,???????????????????????????,????,???

???????????????:“2024???,?????????????????,???????????????,?????????????????????????,???GDP?????????0.6%?????????0.8%?”

“???????????,????????????????????????5????????,???”???(????) ????:?????????????????